Welp, I know you may have thought things will be slowing down a bit more than they seem to be. That may be good, and it may be bad, depending which side of things you are on. But let’s break it down by the actual numbers.
Current Market Overview:
As of November 2024, the real estate market in the Richmond, VA metro area—including the City of Richmond, Chesterfield County, Hanover County, and Henrico County—is still experiencing robust activity characterized by rising home prices and fairly swift sales, despite the time of year being one that is historically quite slow.
Current Market Overview:
- Median Home Prices: As October 2024, the median listing price for homes in the Richmond metro area was $395,000, reflecting an 8.2% increase compared to the previous year. That has leveled out just a bit as we near the holidays, but our market is still showing good appreciation as we near Thanksgiving.
- Average Days on Market: Homes are selling fairly quickly, with an average of 37 days on the market as of October 2024 and only a slight increase now that we are in November.
- Market Competitiveness: The market remained quite competitive, with many properties receiving multiple offers and selling at or above the listing price. It is important to remember that that this data shows as the percentage of sales price to list price. (Therefore, it does not include data on price reductions, which often happen prior to a successful sale when a home has been on the market for a bit.)
Market Trends:
- Inventory Levels: The number of homes available for sale is still limited, contributing to the competitive environment. Zillow notes that as of September 30, 2024, there were 2,917 homes listed for sale in the Richmond metro area. For some perspective, at the height of the pandemic, in 2022, we were all the way down to 910 homes for sale. Crazy! In fact, you may have heard me talk of the absorption rate, otherwise known as the “months supply of homes.” That means that if no other homes came on the market, it would take __ months to sell through the homes out there now, based on buyer demand. In a balanced market, the months supply should be somewhere in the neighborhood of 6. While we have been as low as .60 in the last few years, we are now firmly parked right around 2. Not balanced, but much better than it has been.
- Price Appreciation: Home values have appreciated steadily. Zillow reports a 4.2% increase in average home values over the past year, bringing the typical home value to $366,897.
- Sale-to-List Price Ratio: Homes are selling close to their listing prices, with a median sale-to-list price ratio of 100% in October 2024, indicating that properties are generally selling for their asking prices. (Again, this does not included the homes that dropped their prices before selling.)
What are the Predictions for 2025?:
- Home Prices: The upward trend in home prices is expected to continue into 2025, albeit at a potentially slower pace due to factors such as rising mortgage rates and economic conditions.
- Market Activity: The market is likely to remain competitive, with demand still outpacing supply. However, if new construction increases or more homeowners decide to sell, inventory levels could rise, potentially easing competition, which will obviously stabilize/keep prices a bit lower.
- Days on Market: Homes are expected to continue selling quickly, though the average days on market will lightly increase slightly if inventory grows or buyer demand moderates.
Conclusion:
I truly am starting to feel like a broken record, but it’s all based on the data. If you’re thinking of buying, you should be prepared for a fast paced market, and sellers should expect favorable conditions to sell, if their property is priced properly for the condition, location, and market.
Are you thinking of buying or selling and want more detailed, customized information? I’m always happy to help. Just reach out!