Real Estate Market Updates

If you've been thinking of buying or selling a home, or you watch, read or listen to the news at all, you may have heard changes are coming to our industry this month. In fact, these changes take effect nationwide on 8/17, but will start to be put in place here in Central Virginia 8/6. So what are the changes, and how might they affect you? The who, what, and why... The biggest change is the "decoupling" of commissions. What the heck does that mean, anyway? For decades, real estate commissions have worked this way: An agent would list a home, negotiating and setting the commission with the seller, and a portion (usually half) of that commission would be paid from that listing brokerage to the buyers' agent and their brokerage. This year, a class action lawsuit filed against the National Association of Realtors and a few larger players in the industry, was settled. The suit was brought by some home sellers who felt that they had not had any choice to negotiate or change what they were paying to the agent who brought the buyer for their home. As a major part of this settlement, the National Association of Realtors agreed to change the way buyers' agent commissions were paid- "decoupling" them from the commissions negotiated by the listing agent and the seller. Forever (at least during the 21 years I've been in real estate), agents have been able to see the buyer's agent commission that is being offered on a particular home in the MLS (multiple listing service.)  Effective 8/6 here in Central Virginia, that will no longer be the case. It's not that commission won't be offered. In some cases it will, and in some, it may not. It just cannot be visible in the MLS anymore, effective August 6, 2024. Now, having said all of that (which I hope makes sense) Here's how it might affect you: Before you are able to view a single home, you will need to sign a buyer brokerage agreement with an agent. This is a change for many people. While buyer brokerage agreements have been "a thing" in Virginia for years, to say that it was a loosely enforced rule is an understatement. This agreement lays out what the agent is going to do, what you are obligated to do, and hopefully, brings some clarity to how and what we get paid in the process of your home purchase. This fee is, and always has been, negotiable, and there are a variety of options available in the market. It also states quite clearly that you, the buyer, are committing to pay this agent you're retaining at the end of the transaction. Somehow, and in some way. HUH? When you decide you want to purchase a home, you should have a "buyer's consultation" with the agent you are thinking of working with. You may even interview more than one. That agent(s) should review not only the buyer brokerage agreement, but also how they work, what they're going to do for you, and give you clarity on what they charge for their services. This is not new. (For me, at least.) Here's the NEW part. Previously, as these agreements were only loosely enforced, and in many cases, signed only after you might be under contract, most buyers didn't understand that they were liable for that buyer's agent commission if the seller/listing broker was not paying it. It was also often written to read "buyer's agent accepts whatever is offered in MLS," so buyers' agents didn't always have to have those icky money conversations with their clients, because they could clearly see the commission on every house in MLS. So how is this NEW?? The new agreement does not have that option, as there will be no commission listed in MLS. The commission must be discussed and agreed upon before any home is shown. Because while commission has been "paid by the seller" for years, we all know the seller is not paying anyone anything until the buyer actually buys the home. So who's really paying? Yep. The buyer. (So yes, it seems like it's changed, but in many ways, for many people, it won't make much of a difference.) Agents will not be able to show preference (in theory, at least) to homes that are offering higher commission. I've never done this, but I'm sure it's done. Does this mean I'm going to have to pay my agent if I'm buying a home?? Maybe. In most, or at least many, cases, there will be all or some commission still offered by either the listing brokerage (as has always been the case) or the seller. This may be offered in the form of a straight payment of commission, or might be negotiated in the offer in the form of closing costs that you can use to pay your agent. In the event the seller is paying less than you've agreed upon with your agent, you will have the option to either make up the difference or ask the seller (in your offer) to pay more than they've initially stated, either directly, or to you through concessions (closing costs). If the news, etc, has led you to believe that if you are selling, you no longer have to pay a buyers' agent, that's both true and not true. The truth is, even before this, you could have offered as little as $1 to the buyers' agent, so technically, you never "had to" pay a buyers' agent. Is that a good idea? Well, It's probably not the best way to get the most people into your home, because IF people are working with a buyers' agent, which most still will be, they will have to pay their agent out of pocket if you are not. That means, if they don't have the cash to do so, they may have to pass on seeing your home. What if you don't have the money to pay your agent and the seller won't contribute/help?? Unfortunately, this will likely be a problem in some circumstances, and one of the concerns I have about the whole situation, especially for first time or low cash buyers. If a seller refuses to contribute, we can always ask them to increase the price to allow for the concessions in the contract to cover your buyer's agent, but if not, if you cannot pay your agent, you may need to find another house. (This is definitely one reason why most sellers will likely offer some compensation). "Okay, so if I want to get the best deal on a house, should I just go to the listing agent directly, and represent myself?" Not so fast. There are a couple of things to remember here. First, and perhaps most importantly, the listing agent represents the seller, first and foremost. They are hired to get the seller the best and highest offer, with the best terms, for the seller. They have no duty to you, other than to be honest (not lie) and at best, facilitate. It's also good to be aware that the agent has likely made an agreement with the seller that in the event someone comes in with no representation, they'll make more money. So your savings, or the idea that you can offer less to the seller because they're saving money, may not even be a real thing, and you will have had no representation. "But can't they do dual agency, and represent both of us?" Weeeelllll, they can. It's legal. (For now) But think about it- they're working for the people who want the most money, and the best terms for them, and now they're going to also work for the people who want to pay the least amount of money? Hmmmm. (Oh, don't forget, this is not free, either.) Here's the thing: as a dual agent, the agent usually makes more money, but they now can't advise you, the buyer, OR the seller. What?? If that sounds crazy to you, join the club. Seems like the agent in this scenario is working for no one so much as themselves, right? That's exactly why I don't like it, and why I have never done it.   Just want the high points with no yakity yak?  1- Buyers will need to sign a buyer brokerage agreement before they view any home. 2- As commissions are "decoupled," you as a buyer may have to pay your buyer's agent, as the seller may not always offer concessions in the amount you've agreed on with your agent. Make sure you understand what you've agreed to. 3- Yes, you can go to open houses without having a sign an agreement. (That only comes when you have a real conversation about the property.) 4- Sellers will still be able to offer compensation to buyer brokers, and in many/most cases, they will.   My take? This will be a confusing, and likely slightly rocky, time, but change is often where good things happen. When it all shakes out, I do think it will be good for everyone- more clarity, more education, and better service for consumers. What questions do you have? Let me know.        

The idea of the slow slow slow market of summer has changed over the past few years. Those cycles we could always count on like clockwork had already changed a bit, but the pandemic really wiped them off the map. That means that even though July is historically slow, now it's definitely less so, and there are fewer extreme peaks and dips seasonally. Soooo… that being said, here's what's going on in Metro Richmond real estate this summer. Despite the fact that rates have been bouncing around 7% for months (!), we're still seeing lots of sales and lots of activity. You may have heard me say that a balanced market is when we have 6 months of inventory, and it's been a while since we've been there. As of June, we are at 1.6 months. With the exception of a few months last fall, this is the most inventory we've had since before the pandemic- that's good news, especially if you're buying. More inventory means more choice, and less demand. In many cases, we're still seeing multiple offer situations, but generally that is on homes that are “DONE." (That means there are opportunities out there for buyers who don't have to have that perfect, brand new renovation!) What else does it mean? That if you're selling, the closer you can get your home to DONE, the more money you're likely to net, and that's good too. On average, we are still seeing homes selling in the Metro Richmond area for 100% of the list price, with no noticeable average deviation. That is based on the data available from our MLS. Anecdotally, though, I think those numbers are slightly skewed because I'm seeing many more price reductions (on average, our MLS is showing around 300 reductions per week for the whole of the summer so far.) That means that while the home may sell for 100% of the list price, it doesn't mean that it sold for 100% of the *original* list price. Again, those homes that are "show ready" are the ones that are selling for those higher prices. Want more customized information to your neighborhood, home, or where you want to call home? Let me know, and I can give you a personalized market report with projections.

So you're thinking of selling your home, but you don't quite understand how all of this commission conversation, agency conversation that's been in the news is going to affect you when you go to sell your home. Do you still pay a buyer's agent? Do you not pay a buyer's agent? What's the difference? Why should you do one and not the other? What's the benefit? What's the downside, and what the heck does all of it mean? I want to break down some of these conversations that you might be seeing in the news. There is a lot of misinformation out there and I want to make it a little easier for you to understand exactly how it's going to affect you. So if you are getting ready to sell your home, and you are trying to find an agent to help you list your home, get it sold, and get it to closing, you should do all of the same things that you would have ever done, right? You want to make sure that you're comfortable and that you're confident with the person that you're hiring and despite the fact that it is a seller's market, you want to make sure that, that agent is going to not only market your property but make sure it's not one of the 20% of deals that falls apart before it gets to closing. You want to get it to the finish line, right? So you want to make sure that you understand what your agent is going to do and how they're going to do it. Keep in mind that now, as has always been the case, you can negotiate the commission for the listing agent when you hire them. That doesn't mean that every agent is going to work for the price that you want, but you should make sure that whatever price you are paying, you are comfortable that you are getting a great value for that price. And great value does not always mean the cheapest. Great value can often mean I'm paying a little bit more, but I'm getting so much more. It is totally worth it. I saw an agent the other day say working with her was like ordering a 10-piece nugget and getting 11 and that's always my goal, to provide a level of service that goes beyond what you expect. But keep in mind that commission is always negotiable. You can choose whether or not you want to pay a buyer's agent, but if you call me to list your home, I'm going to explain the reasons why you probably do want to pay a buyer's agent. It's just gonna give you that many more buyers. Lots of buyers do not have the cash on hand to pay their agent and you don't want to dismiss them out of hand before they even get in the door of your house. If you have questions about listing your home, you have questions about what it's going to take to get it ready, or you have questions about the commission and how all that is going to break down and how those changes will affect you. Reach out to me give me a call send me an email, shoot me a DM, and let's talk about it and see what's right for you.

If you've been thinking about buying a home, you probably have been looking at real estate news and just getting fed by the algorithm, all things real estate. You probably have some questions on what all these changes are as a result of the National Association of REALTORS settlement and everything that's coming to the real estate industry. But, how do they impact you as a buyer? Well, first of all, in many cases, it's not going to affect you. Secondly, you want to make sure that the person you're working with to help you buy a home, and this has always been true, but especially now, is the person that you want to continue to work with. Make sure that you're in a good situation. That you feel good about the person you have hired to help you find a home and help you negotiate and get to closing on that new home you're purchasing. So that means, asking a lot of questions. Ask friends. Get recommendations and referrals from friends, so that you're making a conscious decision and not just calling your best friend's cousin who got their license yesterday. Not that there's anything wrong with the best friend's cousin, but just be mindful that it has always been important and is even more important now. You may have heard that you as the buyer are going to have to be paying the commission for your buyer's agent, and that is true, and it is also not quite true. So in my opinion, the buyer kind of pays for everything, right, because until you the buyer, pull your wallet out, get your mortgage, and actually close, the seller can't pay anybody anything, because the money that they're using to pay everybody is your money anyway. So they're not paying anyone until their home sells. So for all intents and purposes, the buyer's money is what is being distributed. Taking that aside, let's say that you fall in love with the house and the listing agent, the listing company, the seller, they're not offering any commission to be paid to the buyer's agent, and you, maybe a first-time home buyer, are like, wait a minute, I don't have the cash to pay. I don't know how I'm gonna pay. I don't know what to do here. Well, there are a few options and the least of them is going to the listing agent. So I would always recommend having your own representation. Work with a buyer's agent that you know, that you like, and that you trust. You are going to be in a contract agreement with that person. As such, it does say in most cases that you're going to have to pay their commission if there's no commission offered, but it doesn't have to be a big deal. Keep in mind that you can get closing costs paid by the seller to cover those commissions. You can sometimes roll the commission into the price of the home and it can be financed into your mortgage. This all depends on the type of loan you have, but there almost always is a way to solve it without you having to take cash out of your pocket or write an actual check to your agent. So while it does sound like there are lots of changes coming that may affect you negatively, just remember if you're working with a great agent, there is almost no problem that we can't solve when it comes to real estate. If you have more questions about agency or you want to look for a home start looking for homes in the Richmond area, give me a call, send me a message, or shoot me a DM. I'd love to help.

It's been a minute since I've talked about agency and all of the proposed changes that are coming down the road in real estate. So, here's a little check-in just to give you an idea of where we are. So as of right now, it looks like changes are going to take place on August 17. That's when things are going to start looking different. Although, if you're the consumer, the buyer, or the seller, they're not going to look that different to you. So what does that mean? It means that, as of that date, we are not going to be able to see the compensation that is offered on the listing side to the buyer's agent. I had a conversation with someone the other day, and he asked, what that's going to look like for him when he goes to sell his property. Basically, a lot of things are not going to change. More things will stay the same, then will change as these changes come around. But ultimately, you always have had the right to negotiate commissions. You always will have the right to negotiate commissions. What I will say is that there are always ways to make your home more marketable and more appealing to both the buyers and the agents showing it to get it to the top of the list and often that's going to be the commission, the willingness to work with commission. Just as it would be for buyers to get closing costs or any other incentives to make an offer on your property over another one. So as we see these changes come on and as new things happen, I'll come out and give you an idea of how it's going to impact you and what's changing. All of those things are going to also change as the market continues to change. So if you want a concise assessment of how things are going to look for you as the consumer whether you're on the buying side or the selling side, follow me here or send me a message, get on my email newsletter, and stay up to date on how things are working and how it will affect you in real estate.

If you've been thinking about getting into the real estate market, whether you're thinking of buying or selling, you have probably heard a lot about all of the changes that are coming primarily regarding commissions in the real estate industry. If I talk to five people a day, I get five different opinions on how they perceive those changes to be coming and how they will affect them. So stay tuned here, subscribe to my YouTube channel, sign up for my newsletter, and stay abreast of all of those changes and how they're going to affect you possibly, whether you're buying or selling. As things change, and continue to develop, we're going to get more information and as I have that more information, I'm going to pass it on to you, because I do think agency is one of the most confusing things in this industry. Certainly right now because everybody has a different opinion. There is lots and lots of misinformation out there, unfortunately, so it is super confusing. My goal is to decode a lot of that for you and make it a little easier for you to wrap your brain around whatever side you're on, buying or selling. So if you have any questions about agency and all of what that entails, shoot me a message, send me an email, or give me a call. I'd love to help you unpack all of the information and get to the bottom of how it will affect you.

All the things to know about what you see in the news about the real estate industry And wow. There has been a LOT of news out there lately. You’ve probably seen the headlines over the last week or so, about the “seismic” changes coming to the real estate industry. Lots of info out there feels an awful lot like clickbait, to say the least, and in most cases, it's quite confusing and misleading. Here’s a little recap of what’s happened, what’s happening, what’s (likely) to come, and most importantly, how it might affect you if you are thinking about buying or selling real estate. This is all facts, with my thoughts in italics... What's happened: Over the past few months, there have been a couple of class action lawsuits brought against the National Association of Realtors and some of the larger players in the real estate space. In short, a class of homeowners in Missouri allege that they had no idea that they had choices when listing their home, did not know they could negotiate, and felt that they paid inflated fees when listing and selling their homes. While the suits were going on for a while, the big news came in the last week, when the National Association of Realtors agreed to settle this case. IF the settlement is approved by the court, they've agreed to pay out $418m over the next four years, AND make some substantive changes to the way the system works, and the way agents are paid. The changes that will go into place, should they be approved: Compensation offered by sellers will no longer be visible in MLS. What this means: Up to now, commissions have been distributed this way- Sellers list their home with a listing agent for a fee (for the purposes of this exercise, we're going to use an imaginary number of 10%). FROM that fee, they agree to offer compensation to the buyer's agent. (In many cases, half, so in this scenario, from the 10% listing fee, each agent gets half at closing.) This compensation offered to the buyer's agent has always been visible in MLS, and as is to be expected, there are agents who have been accused of "steering," or taking buyers only to see homes that pay them well. This will go away to eliminate any real or perceived steering of clients. Buyers working with a buyer's agent will need to sign a contract with that agent prior to viewing any homes. This is really only a variation of what's going on now, and has from years. You should really always have a very good idea of how your agency relationship works- what your agent does for you, how they get paid, and who is paying them. Part of this is getting it all in writhing. This covers the agents, yes (because we can't and don't work for free), as well as the buyer, who better understands the buyer agency they're in. What these things mean and where I think the media has things a little twisted: There is lots of news out there saying that "The 6% Commission is Gone!" and while that is definitely attention grabbing, it's a bit more nuanced than that. First and foremost, commissions are now and have always been negotiable. Now, this doesn't mean that the agent you want, or the services that you know will fit your needs, will cost what you want to spend- but there are many, many options in the marketplace. I liken it to a little black dress- you can buy one at Walmart, Nordstrom, or Saks Fifth Avenue. They are all a little black dress, but they are definitely not the same price, nor the same quality. There may be a time and a place for each option, but they're not interchangeable.  Our industry was definitely ripe for some change, so this will definitely bring about some interesting changes and business models.  Sellers and listing agents will likely, in many cases at least, still offer buyers' agents commissions as part of the transaction. While there will need to be a contract in place between buyers' agents and buyer clients that states the buyer will pay the commission should none be offered, my expectation is that sellers who want to get the most qualified buyers in there homes will indeed still use this as a form of incentive.  In the cases (and there will be some) where the sellers/listing agents are not offering any form of compensation for the buyers' agent, the buyer will have options on "how" to pay for their representation. It can be negotiated in the contract for purchase (basically asking the seller to "pay"), or the price can be bumped up just a bit to include it. As it must now be made clear to sellers that they do not NEED to offer compensation, one of my largest concerns is that there will be occasions where first time and/or inexperienced buyers will feel like they cannot afford buyers' representation, when in most cases, they can't afford not to. By going directly to the listing agent, they'll be working with the agent who represents the seller, and they'll have no one on their side. (And trust me, that is seldom good for the buyer, even with a very ethical agent.)  Another expectation/concern I have as we navigate through these changes is that while the headlines make it seem as though there will be a big reduction in the price of houses, name me another circumstance where the cost of "goods" goes down and the price of the item to the consumer drops. In other words, I have every expectation that if the neighbor sold their home for $400,000 while paying commissions to both their listing agent and a buyers' agent, the "new" seller is not going to sell their home for less because they're not paying the buyers' agent compensation. They're going to want to list at the same price their neighbor did.  I could go on. But in short, there will be lots to navigate over the next year or so. Please feel free to let me know if you have any questions. The headlines are confusing, so if you're stumped on what's going on, reach out. I'm happy to answer anything you might think of. Onward!      

So we've talked a lot about whether it's a buyer's or seller's market and obviously all the data shows, and anecdotally, I can attest to the fact that it is still very much a seller's market here in central Virginia, in the metro Richmond area. But why? Why are we still in a seller's market? What is going on? And is it going to change? So a lot of buyers are out there thinking, I'm gonna wait, I'm gonna sit it out until it turns back into a buyers market. And I wouldn't really recommend that and there are a couple of reasons why. And they go back to the reasons why we are still in a seller's market. So one of the reasons why we are still in a seller's market, and we have not actually been in a buyer's market since 2013, or so, is throwing back to the mortgage crisis of '06 or '07, '08. When mortgages were crazy, everything kind of went kablooey. After lenders were giving people mortgages that probably shouldn't have gotten mortgages, and people didn't really have any skin in the game, so to speak. I think the lowest amount I had a buyer, during that time period, bring to closing was about $100. I think there were some people who brought $0 to closing and that just doesn't really give you a great incentive to pay things off. You don't have anything to lose if you walk away and just can't pay your mortgage. A lot of things changed after that period and put us in a position where a lot of builders went belly up. A lot of things just shifted in the whole industry. Buyers were sidelined. It was harder to get a mortgage. There were a whole lot of reasons, but one big piece of fallout that came from that was people stopped building. We just didn't have the construction that we had had up to that point and we just haven't caught up. So there are literally not as many housing units as the market needs nationwide. Everywhere you go. Almost anywhere, there are not enough units of housing. So that means rental homes, apartments, condos, townhomes, single-family homes, all that stuff. I have also seen during the course of my career that things have gotten a little different from the perspective of buyers. I think 15 or 20 years ago, buyers were more likely to come in and buy a fixer upper. I say all the time that with Pinterest, Instagram, HGTV, and all of these things showing great transformations, my natural thought would be that people would be more open to a fixer-upper and they would see the potential more because they've seen it on TV or Instagram or whatever. And it's almost the opposite. So it's a little counterintuitive to me that with the popularity of those things that buyers tend to walk in and see just a couple of things that might just be cosmetic, or just beyond cosmetic and they will walk out of a home. So the deals to be had in this market generally are the real fixer-uppers because a lot of people are just completely, no thank you, on those. They won't even go or they walk in and turn around and walk out. So there are a few reasons why we are still in a seller's market, but there are always deals to be had. If you're thinking of buying, there are always opportunities out there. So don't sit on the sidelines because you may be sitting for a long time. But if you have any questions about buying or thinking about a game plan to get you into a home and you think it's maybe unattainable, I'd love to talk to you because I bet you can actually make it happen.

It's January, and everybody's making their list of things that they want to accomplish in 2024 and I'm right there with you. But if one of the things that you want to do this year or hope to do this year is buy a home, one of the questions that you probably have is 2024 gonna be better to buy than 2023 was, because it was not that easy last year to buy a house, especially if it was your first home. So here are my predictions for what 2024 is going to look like if you are a homebuyer. We've already seen interest rates drop and that is fantastic because last year they inched up and inched up and inched up to a point where for a lot of people, it was just too expensive to buy a house. But we've already seen them come down and the Federal Reserve has already said that they're going to reduce rates a few times over the course of this year. So I think that we have some good predictions that rates are going to come down to a more attainable, not 3%, but a more attainable spot. So we are unlikely to see those 3%, sub 3%, rates anytime, possibly ever. So if you're waiting for rates to drop back to three, you're going to be waiting a really long time, most likely. And you probably don't want to do that if you're seriously thinking about buying. But as rates come down, it will be more attainable payment wise. But what I want you to keep in mind is if you've been waiting on the sidelines thinking maybe I'm gonna wait to buy a house, remember that right now we're in January, the market is tight with inventory, we still don't have a ton of homes out there and as rates go down, more buyers are going to be entering the market. So if you're thinking you'd like to buy this year, maybe you're thinking I want to buy in spring, you're thinking sometime this year I want to buy I'm going to wait until spring when more homes are on the market. Start looking now because there is less competition out there now in January and February then there will be trust me in March, April, May. So if you're thinking and you're able to buy now with the rates as they are, get out there now, start identifying what you like, what you don't like, and figure out when you can actually move forward because this year is shaping up to definitely have lower rates than last year. Maybe a little bit more inventory though it might be the same and we are gonna see a lot of competition. So get your head in the game. Give me a call. Let's chat. I'll put you in touch with a lender and let's make a game plan to get you in a home in 2024.

One of the questions that I get asked all the time in every season, at a party by clients, whatever, "Are we in a buyers market or seller's market?". If you look at real estate news across the country that answer varies greatly from location to location, region to region, but here in central Virginia in the Richmond metro area, we are still in a seller's market. Now, what does that mean? That means that a balanced market is basically six months' worth of inventory. That means that if we had no more homes come on the market, that we would have six months to sell through all of the inventory that's currently on the market. So if a balanced market where it's not preferring or leaning towards buyers not leaning towards sellers, a balanced market is six months' worth of inventory. We are currently still, here in January of 2024, with less than two months of inventory. If we had no more homes come on the market with the buyers that are currently in the market, it would be at a zero within two months, like all of the houses would be sold. That's going to continue to a greater or lesser degree throughout 2024. We will still find ourselves in a seller's market. But with rates coming down, there are a lot more opportunities for buyers, especially first-time buyers or buyers who are very dependent on those rates. So if you're thinking about buying a home, reach out, I'd love to talk to you, and help you navigate that process, whether it's your first home or your tenth. And if you're thinking of selling, yes, it is still a great time to sell and I'd love to talk to you about the best strategy to get your home on the market before the spring when there is still pretty little competition right now. So give me a call, send me a message, and let's set up a time to chat.